THE NEAR FUTURE

2015-2030

Yugoslavia was a country that was very well connected with every country of the world,so in order to speculate on what would happen with it in the future we should as well think about the rest of the world and the politics that shape it.

 As far as economy goes i think we all know what will happen,China will take the first spot replacing the US,tho the US,EU and Russia would still be very close in terms of GDP.Group of BRICS will become a very powerfull alliance and would soon help India and Brazil into reaching top rank amond the world powers.In terms of military power,the US would still be the ''top" dog,however Russia would challenge this,threw their operations in Eastern Ukraine and in Syria.Speaking of military conflicts ISIS would be dealt within 10 years,if not sooner,with limited donations and support i think the US and Russia as well as all others opposing them would eliminate them from the power struggle,by the end of the conflict,Syria would have once again become a somewhat stable state,but the forces of Russia and the US and NATO forces would linger the area for quite some time,the conflict wouldn't have much influence for now on our future state,but the one thing the conflict would have managed to do,it is to challenge US's position,as top dog on the world stage.Moving on to the conflicts in Ukraine,Crimea already being annexed will not be covered,but the future of east ukranian pro-russian republics would depend on both Russian and Western willinges to fund their allies in that conflict,personally i'm not really sure what to think,the republics might stay independepnt or join Russia,i don't think they would rejoin Ukraine in any form tho,but again,it would prove that Russia is trying to catch up to the US in terms of power on the world stage.And finally Europe,how i see it,it would be the main player in the future of Yugoslavia,as we know Slovenia and Croatia already joined,Serbia,Montenegro,Macedonia are on their ways of negotiating a membership and BiH still not applied.in order for my scenario to work i don't hope for this,but i think that if the UK is to leave the EU it would create a very early,but a good precedent for the creation for our future nation.So as UK leaves the EU i imagine others would follow,countries like Denmark and Netherlands,the EU would be crippled,with the sitation in Greece the economy would have a tough time to recover,especially of the newly added Croatia and other east european members like  Bulgaria and Romania.Serbia's accesion to the EU would stall due to problems with compatability,such thing would also happen with Macedonia,Montengro would after some time be allowed to join the Union.Instead,as alraedy hinted Serbia might turn to Russia and China as close allies,seeing the long history with Russia and a new business venture and visit from the president of China,Serbia might turn its back on the EU.Also,I have not forgotten about the Serbia-Kosovo relations,with talks on creating a Serb autonomous union in Kosovo already under planning it seems that the small republic would gain independence,but i think it is far from it.With multiple problems of high-unemployment,brain-drainage and crime rate there would still be a milion questions to settle on,before the country could manage it self.Also before ISIS would be taken down i do suspect that at is already going on,some people of Islamic faith would go of to fight for the organisation from Kosovo,BiH,Serbia,Montenegro and Macedonia.That is all i think we should have covered in this brief statement,if you think i missed anything be sure to send me a message and i'll try and include it,in some future article.

Hi,thanks for reading my rubbish,comment how much you hate my view of the world,and wait for the next part,cheers :)